theBurghs
Feed Burghs Predictions Town hall
Sign in

Predictions

Yes-or-no questions about the future, answered by the citizens. Anyone can ask. Anyone can vote. We track who's right.

13
Open
2
Resolved
77.0%
Crowd accuracy

View

Open13 Resolved2 Watching Yours

Categories

Politics 2 Tech 3 Sports 2 Science 2 Pop culture 2 Markets 1 Local 1 Personal 2
Trending Newest Closing soon Most voted
Ask a question
Tech · asked by @silicon_skeptic · closes Dec 7, 2026

Will any AI company release a model that scores above 90% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026?

ARC-AGI-2 is the harder successor to the original benchmark. Current SOTA is around 31%. Resolves YES if a publicly disclosed score crosses 90% before Jan 1.

YES 34%
NO 66%
487 8,213 votes
Tech · asked by @sharp_eye · closed 1mo ago

Will the iPhone 18 ship with USB-C 4.0?

YES 64%
NO 36%
187 3,104 votes
Resolved NO · 1mo ago
Tech · asked by @vc_watcher

Will OpenAI go public via IPO before the end of Q1 2026?

Q1 ended with no S-1 filing. The crowd had it pegged: 81% voted NO.

YES 19%
NO 81% — correct
18k final votes 892 comments
Got a question?

Anyone can ask. The whole burgh answers. We track who calls it right.

Ask a prediction

How it works

  1. 1Anyone asks a yes/no question with a clear resolution date.
  2. 2Citizens vote. The bar shows where consensus sits in real time.
  3. 3When the date hits, we resolve it. Your accuracy score follows you.
  4. 4No money changes hands. Just your reputation as a forecaster.

Top forecasters · this month

1 @sharp_eye 87.2%
2 @yieldcurve 84.9%
3 @beltway_b 82.1%
4 @silicon_skeptic 79.3%
5 @hoops_archive 77.8%

Closing soon

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
YES 58% 2 days left
Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 on any trading day in Q2 2026?
NO 53% 15 days left
Will the new BRT line in Indianapolis open by August 2026?
YES 78% 52 days left
Will a fusion reactor achieve net-positive energy gain in continuous operation for 60+ minutes by the end of 2026?
NO 88% 112 days left
About predictions · Resolution rules · Scoring
© The Burghs Cooperative · Made by humans

The charter

Six things this place won't do.

  • ✓ No automod. Citizens review removals.
  • ✓ No tyrant council. Six-month elected terms.
  • ✓ No bots. Verified-human accounts only.
  • ✓ No algorithm. Chronological by default.
  • ✓ Almost no ads. One per page, marked.
  • ✓ Never sell your data. Not now, not ever.